Marine Weather Net

Tampa Bay Marine Forecast


THIS AFTERNOON

NE
WINDS
10
KNOTS

TONIGHT

NE
WINDS
10
KNOTS

SATURDAY

SE
WINDS
5 - 10
KNOTS

SATURDAY NIGHT

SE
WINDS
5 - 10
KNOTS

The Marine Weather Forecast In Detail:
GMZ830 Forecast Issued: 1002 AM EDT Fri Aug 07 2026

This Afternoon...Northeast Winds Around 10 Knots. Bay And Inland Waters Light Chop. Numerous Showers With Isolated Thunderstorms.
Tonight...Northeast Winds Around 10 Knots, Becoming East After Midnight. Bay And Inland Waters Light Chop. Numerous Showers With Isolated Thunderstorms In The Evening.
Saturday...Southeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming South In The Afternoon. Bay And Inland Waters Light Chop. Numerous Showers With Isolated Thunderstorms In The Afternoon.
Saturday Night...Southeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots. Bay And Inland Waters Light Chop. Isolated Thunderstorms. Numerous Showers, Mainly In The Evening.
Sunday...Southeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming South In The Afternoon. Bay And Inland Waters Light Chop. Scattered Showers With Isolated Thunderstorms In The Afternoon.
Sunday Night...Northeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming East After Midnight. Bay And Inland Waters Light Chop. Isolated Thunderstorms. Scattered Showers, Mainly In The Evening.
Monday...Southeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming South In The Afternoon. Bay And Inland Waters Light Chop. Isolated Showers And Thunderstorms In The Afternoon.
Monday Night...North Winds Around 5 Knots, Becoming East After Midnight. Bay And Inland Waters Light Chop. Isolated Showers And Thunderstorms In The Evening.
Tuesday...Southeast Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming Southwest In The Afternoon. Bay And Inland Waters Light Chop. Isolated Showers And Thunderstorms In The Afternoon. Winds And Waves Higher In And Near Thunderstorms.
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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
706am EDT Fri August 7 2026

Issued at 220am EDT Fri August 7 2026

Easterly flow will continue over the area as upper ridging and surface high pressure between Bermuda and the Carolinas ridges west- southwest across the southeast U.S., northern Florida and into the northeastern Gulf. A tropical easterly wave on the southern periphery of the ridge will traverse westward today bringing numerous to widespread showers and storms to most of the area this afternoon/evening. These showers and storms will be traversing from east to west with the highest coverage over the central and western part of the state this afternoon/evening. Similar to what we saw on Thursday, some of these showers and storms could produce some heavy rainfall in the 2-3 inches range.

Over the weekend, broad upper ridging and surface high pressure located between Bermuda and the Carolinas continues to dominate the weather pattern over Florida. Numerous to widespread showers and storms expected on Saturday, then scattered to numerous showers and storms on Sunday.

By Monday, the upper ridge and surface high pressure will nudge slightly southward between Bermuda and the Bahamas. A continued east- southeast wind flow will persist through the first half of next week. Some slightly drier air will move into the region with PWAT (Precipitable Water) values between 1.7 - 2.0 inches expected. This will bring slightly lower rain and storm chances, but still enough for scattered showers and isolated storms developing each afternoon. The ridge axis will shift further south over south Florida for the latter part of next week, bringing a shift in winds to a southwest through westerly direction.

Temperatures and heat indices are expected to stay below advisory criteria through the period with daytime temperatures topping out in the upper 80s to mid 90s and overnight lows in the mid to upper 70s.

Marine
Issued at 220am EDT Fri August 7 2026

High pressure ridging across northern Florida and into the northeastern Gulf will produce a predominant northeast through southeast wind flow over the coastal waters. Scattered to numerous showers and storms expected each day with the highest chances during the late afternoon and evening hours. Showers and storms will be moving in a general east to west direction. Outside of showers and storms, winds will generally remain less than 15 knots and seas 2 feet or less.

Fire Weather
Issued at 220am EDT Fri August 7 2026

A northeast to southeast wind flow will continue through the end of the week and into the weekend. Abundant moisture will remain across the region allowing for a more typical summertime weather pattern with scattered to numerous mainly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms each day. Relative humidity values will remain well above critical levels and winds will be less than 15 mph, except gusty and erratic near showers and thunderstorms.

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Friday: 3 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Saturday: 7

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

NOAA Tampa FL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories
FL...None. Gulf waters...None.