South Mobile Bay Marine Forecast
| Today...East Winds 5 To 10 Knots, Becoming Southeast Late. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Light Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms Late This Morning And Early Afternoon. |
| Tonight...Southeast Winds Around 5 Knots, Becoming East After Midnight. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Smooth. |
| Saturday...Northeast Winds Around 5 Knots, Becoming South In The Afternoon. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Smooth. |
| Saturday Night...Southwest Winds Around 5 Knots, Becoming Southeast After Midnight. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Smooth. |
| Sunday...East Winds Around 5 Knots, Becoming Southeast Around 5 Knots In The Afternoon. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Smooth. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms In The Morning. |
| Sunday Night...South Winds Around 5 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Smooth. |
| Monday...South Winds Around 5 Knots, Increasing To 5 To 10 Knots In The Afternoon. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Light Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms In The Morning. |
| Monday Night...South Winds Around 5 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Smooth. |
| Tuesday...South Winds Around 5 Knots, Increasing To 5 To 10 Knots In The Afternoon. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Light Chop. A Slight Chance Of Showers And Thunderstorms In The Morning. |
| Tuesday Night...Southwest Winds Around 5 Knots. Waves 1 Foot Or Less. Smooth. Winds And Waves Higher In And Near Thunderstorms. |
| Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 642am CDT Fri August 7 2026 Issued at 642am CDT Fri August 7 2026 Current forecast remains on track. /22 Issued at 1113pm CDT Thu August 6 2026 Starting off tonight rather quiet across the area looking at GOES-16 Night Microphysics along with KMOB trends. Seeing a few isolated showers across the warm Gulf waters fueled by copious amounts of marine instability. Coverage will steadily increase overnight, supported by a subtle/weak inverted trough axis approaching from the western Gulf to provide some dynamic assistance which will continue into the early/mid-morning hours. 0-1km bulk shear on the order of 1-3kts, the potential for landbreeze localized sfc/low-level vorticity, ample PBL moisture all supports the potential for a few fair-weather waterspouts, something to monitor. Some of this activity will pour inland across coastal areas mid-morning, becoming more noticably inland during the afternoon/evening hours fueled by ample daytime surface heating, with greatest/strongest convection focused from localized lift caused by sea/baybreeze interactions. For that reason, can't fully rule out a few rogue stronger storms that could contain downburst potential given noticably drying in the low/mid-level troposphere amplified by downward flux momentum transport in a well-mixed, deep PBL. No adjustments needed to proposed NBM Probability of Precipitation as timing/coverage appears in line with meteorological reasoning and supported by recent REFS/HRRR (High-Resolution Rapid Refresh) trends. Additionally, did take a minor adjustment with afternoon dewpoints to allow for a more realistic afternoon mixing regime, this mostly was emphasized as prescribed burns continue across interior southern Mississippi. Rolling right along into the weekend, same deal each day with hot afternoon temperatures. Honestly hard to find many differences between each day as the aforementioned subtle impulse drifts west of the area, and daily mainly mid/lateam topm pop-up showers/storms, starting near the water, then more inland throughout each day. No oppressive or excessive heat concerns with highs generally in the low 90's and dewpoints in the low/mid 70's providing max heat indices in the 101-107 range. Going into next week, the weak, slow-moving disturbance drifts inland across SE LA placing our general area in rather progressive southerly flow regime. Still seeing long-range higher-than-normal confidence in a building ridge pattern expanding/retrograding west across the northern Gulf coast states, aiding in increasing heat and lowering Probability of Precipitation some. Not reflecting much of this within the forecast yet other than some mid to becoming upper 90's possible in SW MS counties, but could start to get closer to Heat Advisory criteria at some point mid/late week. Just depends on if we mix out a bit more which is a common theme as we warm up to temperatures that warm. KLG Marine Issued at 312am CDT Fri August 7 2026 Winds will be generally light easterly to southeasterly through the weekend. Near the coast, a diurnal cycle will bring onshore winds during the afternoon and evening, shifting to offshore overnight into the morning. Light southerly to southwesterly winds are expected Monday and Tuesday. /22 NOAA Mobile AL Office: Watches - Warnings - Advisories AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None. |
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